Autumn Leaves in Niigata in Late October: Will You Catch Them? (2026)
In an average year, Niigata's autumn leaves reach peak color around November 15. For an October 21–31 trip, the chance of overlapping peak color is ~1%, and the chance of seeing at least some autumn color is ~23%.
1% chance of peak color · 23% chance of catching at least some
usual color
this window
Oct 13darker = peak colorNov 30
What you'll likely see
Still green · ~10 daysColours turning · ~1 day
Across October 21–31 in an average year, expect roughly 10 days of still green. Leaves still mostly green — colour hasn't reached this city yet in most years.
This window is a stretch in Niigata — on the same dates you'd likely have better odds of autumn leaves in Sapporo (Hokkaido) (67%) instead. Hotels there for these dates: Sapporo.
Nearby dates & cities
Shift your dates in Niigata: Niigata · Early November · 23% peak
Better odds for October 21–31 elsewhere: Sapporo (Hokkaido) · Late October · 67% peak · Nagano · Late October · 2% peak · Aomori (Tohoku) · Late October · 1% peak · Nara · Late October · 1% peak
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