Question 1

Will I catch autumn leaves in Sapporo (Hokkaido) in November 11–20?

Accepted Answer

In an average year, Sapporo (Hokkaido)'s autumn leaves reach peak color around October 28. For a November 11–20 trip, the chance of overlapping peak color is ~13%, and the chance of seeing at least some autumn color is ~13%.

Question 2

What will the trees actually look like in November 11–20?

Accepted Answer

Across November 11–20 in an average year, expect roughly 9.5 days of falling / past peak. Past peak — colours fading and leaves coming down. Gingko carpets can still be striking.

Question 3

What if I miss peak color in Sapporo (Hokkaido)?

Accepted Answer

This window is a stretch in Sapporo (Hokkaido) — on the same dates you'd likely have better odds in Aomori (Tohoku) (85%) or Nagano (82%) instead. Or shift your own trip a few days later toward the peak (around October 28).

Autumn Leaves in Sapporo (Hokkaido) in Mid November: Will You Catch Them? (2026)