Cherry Blossoms in Nagoya in Mid April: Will You Catch Them? (2027)
In an average year, Nagoya's cherry blossoms reach full bloom around April 1. For an April 11–20 trip, the chance of overlapping peak bloom is ~23%, and the chance of seeing at least some blossoms is ~23%.
23%chance of peak bloomLikely to miss the peak here.
usual bloom
this window
Mar 14darker = full bloomApr 28
What you'll likely see
Petal fall / sakura snow · ~0.5 daysGreen hazakura (leaves) · ~9.5 days
Fresh green leaves, blossoms finished. If this is your window, late-blooming yaezakura (up to ~2 weeks after) or heading north are your best moves.
Nearby dates & cities
Nagoya by date:
Better odds on the same dates:
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