Cherry Blossoms in Sapporo (Hokkaido) in Mid May: Will You Catch Them? (2027)
In an average year, Sapporo (Hokkaido)'s cherry blossoms reach full bloom around April 27. For a May 11–20 trip, the chance of overlapping peak bloom is ~14%, and the chance of seeing at least some blossoms is ~14%.
14%chance of peak bloomLikely to miss the peak here.
usual bloom
this window
Apr 15darker = full bloomMay 28
What you'll likely see
Green hazakura (leaves) · ~9.5 days
Fresh green leaves, blossoms finished. If this is your window, late-blooming yaezakura (up to ~2 weeks after) or heading north are your best moves.
About these numbers: Bloom timing is centred on the last 10 seasons of JMA observations (2017–2026), which run earlier than the 1991–2020 normal — by about 9 days in Sapporo.
Nearby dates & cities
Sapporo by date:
Other cities on the same dates:
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