Autumn Leaves in Osaka in Mid November: Will You Catch Them? (2026)
In an average year, Osaka's autumn leaves reach peak color around November 22. For a November 11–20 trip, the chance of overlapping peak color is ~30%, and the chance of seeing at least some autumn color is ~98%.
30%chance of peak colorA coin-flip — worth a backup plan.
98% chance of catching at least some autumn color.
usual color
this window
Nov 3darker = peak colorDec 7
What you'll likely see
Still green · ~2.5 daysColours turning · ~6.5 daysPeak colour · ~1 day
A mix: greens shifting to yellows and first reds, deepening daily.
This window is a stretch in Osaka — on the same dates you'd likely have better odds of autumn leaves in Aomori (Tohoku) (85%) or Nagano (82%) instead. Hotels there for these dates: Aomori · Nagano.
About these numbers: Famous viewing spots in Osaka typically peak about 9 days earlier than JMA's reference tree at the city observatory; these odds follow the spots' typical timing. Why?
Nearby dates & cities
Osaka by date:
Better odds on the same dates:
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