Cherry Blossoms in Tokyo in Late March: Will You Catch Them? (2027)
In an average year, Tokyo's cherry blossoms reach full bloom around March 27. For a March 21–31 trip, the chance of overlapping peak bloom is ~75%, and the chance of seeing at least some blossoms is ~97%.
75%chance of peak bloomGood odds — you should catch them.
97% chance of catching at least some blossoms.
usual bloom
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Mar 11darker = full bloomApr 11
What you'll likely see
Buds & bare branches · ~1.5 daysOpening (10→80%) · ~4.5 daysFull bloom · ~2.5 daysPetal fall / sakura snow · ~1 dayGreen hazakura (leaves) · ~1 day
Expect a mix of stages over these dates rather than one — which you see most depends on whether it's an early or a late year.
See Tokyo hotels for March 21–31 →
Peak-season rooms in Tokyo sell out months ahead.
Things to do in Tokyo →About these numbers: Bloom timing is centred on the last 10 seasons of JMA observations (2017–2026), which run earlier than the 1991–2020 normal — by about 4 days in Tokyo.
Nearby dates & cities
Tokyo by date:
Other cities on the same dates:
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