Cherry Blossoms in Tokyo in Mid March: Will You Catch Them? (2027)
In an average year, Tokyo's cherry blossoms reach full bloom around March 27. For a March 11–20 trip, the chance of overlapping peak bloom is ~11%, and the chance of seeing at least some blossoms is ~57%.
11%chance of peak bloomLikely to miss the peak here.
57% chance of catching at least some blossoms.
usual bloom
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Mar 3darker = full bloomApr 11
What you'll likely see
Buds & bare branches · ~7 daysOpening (10→80%) · ~2.5 days
Mostly bare branches with pink-tinged buds — sakura hasn't started here on these dates in most years.
About these numbers: Bloom timing is centred on the last 10 seasons of JMA observations (2017–2026), which run earlier than the 1991–2020 normal — by about 4 days in Tokyo.
Nearby dates & cities
Tokyo by date:
Other cities on the same dates:
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