Autumn Leaves in Tokyo in Early November: Will You Catch Them? (2026)
In an average year, Tokyo's autumn leaves reach peak color around November 28. For a November 1–10 trip, the chance of overlapping peak color is ~1%, and the chance of seeing at least some autumn color is ~16%.
1%chance of peak color · 16% chance of catching at least some
usual color
this window
Oct 24darker = peak colorDec 13
What you'll likely see
Still green · ~9.5 daysColours turning · ~0.5 days
Across November 1–10 in an average year, expect roughly 9.5 days of still green. Leaves still mostly green — colour hasn't reached this city yet in most years.
This window is a stretch in Tokyo — on the same dates you'd likely have better odds of autumn leaves in Sapporo (Hokkaido) (59%) instead. Hotels there for these dates: Sapporo.