Question 1

Will I catch autumn leaves in Tokyo in November 11–20?

Accepted Answer

In an average year, Tokyo's autumn leaves reach peak color around November 28. For a November 11–20 trip, the chance of overlapping peak color is ~2%, and the chance of seeing at least some autumn color is ~69%.

Question 2

What will the trees actually look like in November 11–20?

Accepted Answer

Across November 11–20 in an average year, expect roughly 7 days of still green, and 3 days of colours turning. Leaves still mostly green — colour hasn't reached this city yet in most years.

Question 3

What if I miss peak color in Tokyo?

Accepted Answer

This window is a stretch in Tokyo — on the same dates you'd likely have better odds in Aomori (Tohoku) (85%) or Nagano (82%) instead. Or shift your own trip a few days later toward the peak (around November 28).

Autumn Leaves in Tokyo in Mid November: Will You Catch Them? (2026)