Autumn Leaves in Tokyo in Mid November: Will You Catch Them? (2026)
In an average year, Tokyo's autumn leaves reach peak color around November 28. For a November 11–20 trip, the chance of overlapping peak color is ~16%, and the chance of seeing at least some autumn color is ~60%.
16%chance of peak color · 60% chance of catching at least some
usual color
this window
Nov 3darker = peak colorDec 13
What you'll likely see
Still green · ~6 daysColours turning · ~3 daysPeak colour · ~0.5 days
Across November 11–20 in an average year, expect roughly 6 days of still green, and 3 days of colours turning. Leaves still mostly green — colour hasn't reached this city yet in most years.
This window is a stretch in Tokyo — on the same dates you'd likely have better odds of autumn leaves in Nagano (68%) or Aomori (Tohoku) (68%) instead. Hotels there for these dates: Nagano · Aomori.