Autumn Leaves in Tokyo in Mid December: Will You Catch Them? (2026)
In an average year, Tokyo's autumn leaves reach peak color around November 28. For a December 11–20 trip, the chance of overlapping peak color is ~22%, and the chance of seeing at least some autumn color is ~23%.
22%chance of peak color · 23% chance of catching at least some
usual color
this window
Nov 10darker = peak colorDec 28
What you'll likely see
Peak colour · ~1 dayFalling / past peak · ~9 days
Across December 11–20 in an average year, expect roughly 9 days of falling / past peak. Past peak — colours fading and leaves coming down. Gingko carpets can still be striking.
This window is a stretch in Tokyo — on the same dates you'd likely have better odds of autumn leaves in Yokohama (67%) or Shizuoka (Fuji area) (65%) instead. Hotels there for these dates: Yokohama · Shizuoka.