Cherry Blossoms in Nara in Mid March: Will You Catch Them? (2027)
In an average year, Nara's cherry blossoms reach full bloom around April 4. For a March 11–20 trip, the chance of overlapping peak bloom is ~0%, and the chance of seeing at least some blossoms is ~2%.
0% chance of peak bloom · 2% chance of catching at least some
usual bloom
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Mar 3darker = full bloomApr 19
What you'll likely see
Buds & bare branches · ~10 days
Across March 11–20 in an average year, expect roughly 10 days of buds & bare branches. Mostly bare branches with pink-tinged buds — sakura hasn't started here on these dates in most years.
Nearby dates & cities
Shift your dates in Nara: Nara · Late March · 15% peak
Better odds for March 11–20 elsewhere: Kochi · Mid March · 1% peak · Tokyo · Mid March · 1% peak · Yokohama · Mid March · 1% peak · Shizuoka (Fuji area) · Mid March · 0% peak
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